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Food Prices Going Up, 2021 Shortages?

by don - 2020-08-07 07:54:38 ( in education, research) [php version] rebuild (131286)

*Food Prices Rise To Dangerous Levels As 'A Second Wave Of Layoffs' Hits

The U.S. Economy*

/5 August, 2020/

You may have noticed that food prices have started to go up very

aggressively. I repeatedly warned my readers that this is precisely what

would happen, and more price increases are on the way.

Fear of covid-19 has sparked a tremendous amount of extra demand as

Americans have feverishly stocked up their pantries, and at the same

time the virus has made it very difficult for the major food companies

to keep up. Over the past several months we have seen a large number of

food production facilities close down temporarily, food supply chains

have been thrown into a state of chaos, and grocery stores have found it

increasingly difficult to keep their shelves full.

Many years ago I remember sitting in an Econ 101 class as a very young

college student, and one of the things that I learned was that prices

are going to rise when supply goes down and demand goes up. So it was

inevitable that grocery store prices would become more painful, and the

latest numbers that have been released by the BEA are definitely quite



According to data released last week

by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, almost all kinds of food

have seen an increase in its price since February. Beef and veal

prices are up *a staggering 20.2%* since before the pandemic,

while other staples like eggs (*10.4%*), poultry (*8.6%*) and

pork (*8.5%*) have also seen significant increases.

If prices keep going up like this, a lot of American families are going

to have to start cutting beef out of their diets simply because they

cannot afford it anymore.

And of course these price increases are coming at a really bad time,

because we are in the midst of a historic economic downturn


When an Oregon woman named Bella Flores recently took her monthly trip

to the grocery store, she was shocked by how much prices have gone up


Medford resident Bella Flores says she felt the shock when she

recently went to the store to pick up her monthly items.

'It kept going up, $50 and then $69, I'm like oh crap man it's a

lot,' she said.

Actually, if I could get out of the grocery store with a of only 69

dollars I would be jumping for joy.

These days, it seems like you can't even get a full cart of groceries

for under 200 dollars where I live.

Sadly, more price increases are on the way. Demand is going to remain

high, and many food companies will continue to operate at reduced

levels. For example, just consider what the CEO of Tyson Foods recently

had to say


During a recent call with analysts discussing third-quarter

financial results, Tyson (TSN) CEO Noel White said that some of

the company's facilities 'continue to operate at decreased

production levels.'

With food prices already at such elevated levels, the Federal Reserve

has decided that now is a perfect time to jack up inflation even more.

The following comes from a CNBC article entitled 'The Fed is expected to

make a major commitment to ramping up inflation soon'


In the next few months, the Federal Reserve will be solidifying

a policy outline that would commit it to low rates for years as

it pursues an agenda of higher inflation and a return to the

full employment picture that vanished as the coronavirus

pandemic hit.

Recent statements from Fed officials and analysis from market

veterans and economists point to a move to 'average inflation'

targeting in which inflation above the central bank's usual 2%

target would be tolerated and even desired.

Isn't that wonderful?

You can almost always count on the Federal Reserve to do the wrong thing.

Meanwhile, Fox Business is reporting that a 'second wave of layoffs'

has now hit the economy...

A *second wave of layoffs* is hitting American workers during a

surge in coronavirus cases nationwide, and a Congressional

stalemate over stimulus relief, according to a new survey by

Cornell University and RIWI.

*The researchers conducted the survey between July 23 and Aug.

1, and found that 31% of workers who had been placed back on

payrolls after initially being laid off have now been laid off

for a second time. Additionally, 26% of rehired workers say

they've been told that they may be laid off again.*

Those numbers are absolutely staggering.

We already knew that millions upon millions of the jobs that were

originally lost are never coming back, and now we are learning that

millions of the jobs that were actually regained are being lost again.

So what this means is that at the exact same time that food prices are

skyrocketing, countless Americans find themselves out of work and no

longer have paychecks coming in.

What a nightmare.

And this may help to explain why the U.S. Census Bureau is finding that

so many Americans are missing meals right now


This week the US Census Bureau published results of a survey in

which nearly 30 million out of 249 million respondents said they

did not have enough to eat at some point in the week before July

21. It was the highest number of people reporting insufficient

food since the Census started tracking that information in early


During the first half of this year we witnessed lines at food banks that

were up to two miles long, and we are likely to see similar scenes

throughout the rest of 2020.

But the good news is that the U.S. is still in better shape than much of

the rest of the world. As I have detailed previously, giant armies of

locusts have been devastating crops in Africa, the Middle East and Asia,

and now it is being reported

that they have decided to invade Russia...

Locust swarms have invaded Russia's southern regions causing

colossal damage to the local agriculture.

According to regional authorities, the damage is estimated at

over 13 million US dollars.

A state of emergency has been declared in seven parts of the

republic of Kalmykia, according to the Emergency Ministry.

Meanwhile, 'nearly one-third of China has been impacted by severe



and that is having a dramatic affect on crop production over there.

Even during the best of times, we struggle to feed everyone on the

entire planet, and here in 2020 global food production has been hit by a

whole host of major problems.

I fully expect that global food supplies will increasingly become

tighter, and that has very serious implications for the years ahead of

us .

Yes, food prices are already very high, but now is the time to stock up

because they are only going to go higher.

Unfortunately, there are millions upon millions of Americans that can't

afford to stock up because they have already lost their jobs and no

longer have any income coming in.

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